Sam Altman predicts artificial superintelligence (AGI) will happen this year

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  • Sam Altman reflects on nine years of OpenAI
  • He predicts we will achieve AGI in 2025
  • AI Agents will also enter the workforce for the first time

In a long and wistful blog post titled ‘Reflections’ Sam Altman, the mercurial CEO of ChatGPT creators OpenAI, has said that he believes we will achieve AGI (artificial general intelligence, also known as superintelligence) “as we have traditionally understood it” in 2025 with the release of the first AI agents joining the workforce. He says:

“We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it. We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents “join the workforce” and materially change the output of companies. We continue to believe that iteratively putting great tools in the hands of people leads to great, broadly-distributed outcomes.”

While that may sound like bad news for people whose jobs it replaces, it would be a big jump forward for the AGI timeline. I previously interviewed Dr Ben Goertzel, who predicted that humanity would develop AGI by 2029.

Alan Thompson, an expert in artificial intelligence and former chairman of Mensa International, runs the Conservative Countdown to AGI web page, and has increased the countdown to achieving AGI as 88% complete in light of Altman’s latest comments, along with the release of Nvidia Cosmos for training humanoid robots.

Will Smith had a thing or two to say about humanoid robots in I, Robot (2004). (Image credit: 20th Century Fox)

Fired by surprise

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